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Think Ed Miliband is passive, useless? Wrong. Jim Jepps understands: he has ascended to such mastery that he can alter history with the slightest motion:

Meanwhile Miliband watches, as if to say "I am stone. As life comes and goes about me, I am rock. Let rivers rage and thunder crash, what are these ephemeral twitiches to the aeons?"

As libraries shut, offices close, unemployment rises and riots flare across the streets all we see are Lib Dems and Tories racing round setting light to schools, and urinating on our armed forces (but only the living ones, never the dead).

Of course, Labour's ranks are not all schooled in Miliband's teachings. Some cluck and splutter "Do something!" They shout "Call someone a bigot! Announce a policy initiative! Issue a press release! Do something!"

Miliband stops breathing, a hint of a frown crosses his face, but just for a moment. Holding up one finger he silences them. A deathly quiet falls. "Listen." One brave Labour acolyte steps forwards, and trembling asks "Wh... what is that sound? It's cutting me to the quick... horrible..." she breathes, eyes wide.

"It is the weeping of my enemies."


Also via Jim, a rant about protest organizers in London:

the left are not to blame for the brutal police tactics, they are not guilty of kettling anyone, and they are not responsible for arrests. Nonetheless they are responsible for unnecessarily putting people in situations where these things inevitably happen.
danohu: (Default)
Adam Curtis has a blog

Curtis is IMO the most interesting documentary-maker currently active, by a healthy margin. He spends months or years closeted in the BBC archives, intermittently emerging with documentaries like The Trap or The Power of Nightmares.

Most of his documentaries fit into a coherent project, an intellectual history of the 20th century. What continually fascinates him is the interaction between emotions and politics, how ideas about human nature shape how we see ourselves, and so form the background assumptions which justify political movements. As he told Charlie Brooker:

"What I'm hoping they'll do is pull back like in a helicopter and look at themselves and think about how they're a product of history, and of power, and politics, as much as a product of their own little inner desires. We're all part of a big historical age. That's just what we are. And, sometimes, we forget."


The blog extends these themes, often accompanied by decades-old clips which might otherwise never have found their way online.

Here is a typically fascinating post. Curtis takes Behavioural Economics -- popularised in 'Nudge' and by Dan Ariely, now being politically weaponized by Cameron's Behavioural Insight Unit -- and ties it to Behaviourism. Behaviourism is the psychological apporoach* of treating the mind as a black box, not trying to understand it internally but just tracking how it responds to certain stimuli. Curtis:


Drawing on... behaviourist ideas [Nudge author] Thaler wrote a paper in 1981 with a great title - An Economic Theory of Self-Control.

This is what lies behind the Downing Street unit's plans to find mechanisms to manipulate people so they will do "good" things - like save more for retirement or eat less bad food.

Skinner himself [the leading figure in Behaviourism] was acutely aware that modifying human behaviour in these ways raises serious political questions. Not just about individual freedom, but about who decides what is "good" behaviour, and what happens when others decide it is bad.

These are questions that the Nudge enthusiasts seem to be blithely unaware of.


The whole blog is fascinating, and is at the very least full of arguements to interestingly disagree with. I'm a fan.

* 'approach' because it hovers uneasily between being a methodological practice of conducting experiments and a theory of how the mind works. It's comparable to the 'homo economicus' model of rational self-interest in economics. Both are trivially true, but only if you sideline some of the most important causes of behaviour. Both function very well in narrow circumstances which make for good journal articles, tempting researchers to focus on those circumstances and ignore the rest. Both thus had a similar academic trajectory -- innumerable grad students applying the theories in ways that were clever, internally consistent, and applied to the real world only if you ignored the footnotes. Both were accordingly attacked by outsiders determined to blame the theory for the shortcomings of its application.
danohu: (Default)
Benjamin Disraeli's father, Isaac D'Israeli, was apparently a bookworm of monomaniac dedication. According to his son:

He was himself a complete literary character, a man who really passed his life in his library. Even marriage produced no change in these habits; he rose to enter the chamber where he lived alone with his books, and at night his lamp was ever lit within the same walls. Nothing, indeed, was more remarkable than the isolation of this prolonged existence;


One of his projects was Curiosities of Literature, an immense notebook full of whatever had struck him over a lifetime of reading.

He seems to have had a particular fondness for anecdotes of people more book-obsessed than himself. For example Anthony Magliabechi, the extreme case of the reader-hoarder. This is the kind of person who in other circumstances would open a secondhand bookshop, sell almost nothing, but sit all day surrounded by piles of books.


the passage below stairs was full of books, and the staircase from the top to the bottom was lined with them. When you reached the second story, you saw with astonishment three rooms, similar to those below, equally full, so crowded, that two good beds in these chambers were also crammed with books.

This apparent confusion did not, however, hinder Magliabechi from immediately finding the books he wanted. He knew them all so well, that even to the least of them it was suffiicient to see its outside, to say what it was; and indeed he read them day and night, and never lost sight of any. He ate on his books, he slept on his books, and quitted them as rarely as possible... Nothing could be more simple than his mode of life; a few eggs, a little bread, and some water, were his ordinary food.


[Via Bruce Sterling's latest State of the World discussion thread.]
danohu: (Default)
I do somewhat try to overlook politicians saying silly things -- most of us are intermittently idiotic, and are just lucky not to be constantly filmed. Still, when the stupid is both extreme and premeditated, we're surely allowed a bit of mockery.

First: Michael Gove takes 'Red Tory' in a bewildering direction, declares himself proud to be a Maoist. Because when you're introducing such an extreme attack onmodernization of the education system, you run out of models to follow. And China has the best example* in living memory* of how to annihilate education (and much else) in only a few years. So of course Gove wants "in education...to implement a cultural revolution just like the one they’ve had in China". [The whole article is a spectacular case of "what was he thinking?"] [via [livejournal.com profile] jacinthsong]

Meanwhile in the US, the incoming chair of the House subcommittee on energy and the environment**, apparently believes that the Bible guarantees us no climate change


So I want to start with Genesis 8, verse 21 and 22. "Never again will I curse the ground because of man..." I believe that’s the infallible word of God, and that's the way it’s going to be for His creation.
...
The second verse comes from Matthew 24. "And He will send His angels with a loud trumpet call, and they will gather His elect from the four winds, from one end of the heavens to the other." The earth will end only when God declares its time to be over. Man will not destroy this earth. This earth will not be destroyed by a flood. And I appreciate having panelists here who are men of faith, and we can get into the theological discourse of that position, but I do believe God’s word is infallible, unchanging, perfect.


So, in order to get him taking climate change seriously, we need him to believe we're living in the end-times?

* Or almost; I guess the Khmer Rouge still have the edge. Fortuantely Phnom Penh wasn't on Gove's itinerary.

** I've no idea if this is an important committee, or just a dumping ground for annoying congresscritters. I hope the latter.
danohu: (Default)
Like library_keeper, I've been playing with Google's new ngram tool. This is supposed to show the historical frequency of word usage, based on Google Books. It's briefly fun and utterly unreliable -- in other words, it should be perfect for the internet.

But, after tinkering, I can't really find much that's both unexpected and even mildly believable. Waves of subcultures are marginally interesting, although you should porbably discount the goth revivals of 1860 and 1880. [the long and mutating history of 'punk', on the other hand, is genuine]. Or you could have a graph of years (1920,1930, etc), which seems to show more recent years being forgotten more quickly. And you can play off science against religion, duty against freedom, or all the isms against one another.

But basically, I'm stumped. There must be something interesting in there, but I can't find it. Can anybody else do better?
danohu: (Default)
Tube strikes make the unions pretty unpopular.

What if the unions instead had a (publicised) day of turning a blind eye to fare-dodgers? That would still cost their employers plenty of money, but would presumably fill the public with enthusiasm rather than hatred.

The main problem would be that while there's plenty of legal protection for strikes, there's much less for employees refusing to perform some part of their job. Doubly so since London Underground undoubtedly already has disciplinary procedures in place for staff who help fare-dodgers. Also I'd imagine many tube employees not being too keen on people who don't pay.

Still, it'd be a nice change from strikes. Have any transport unions tried this kind of thing, elsewhere in the world? What was the result?

loose ends

Dec. 13th, 2010 04:23 am
danohu: (Default)
Alexander Shulgin has had a stroke. Shulgin introduced ecstacy to the world, discovered hundreds of psychedelic and other drugs. i.e. he massively improved the world, but in a way that he couldn't easily monetize without winding up in jail. He's poor, ill and in the US -- thus having trouble paying his medical bill. Donations accepted here, Erowid also has a collection for archiving his papers.

--

Fantastic tombstone (warning: may contain communism)

--

Vodafone choose the wrong moment to play with twitter. Makes me wonder: what is the sensible thing for an unpopular company to do with an online public? Just hide?

At some level many companies have to make a choice: try to be popular, or just hunker down and rake in the cash. If the rich-but-repulsive strategy now has the added cost of being laughed off the internet, that's probably a good thing. I guess.

--

Old, but I missed it first time round: the EU told the Netherlands it had too much public housing, and had to get rid of it.
danohu: (Default)
"Science fiction is the first human literature"

That's Ken MacLeod attempting the most extreme claim possible in defence of SF. I don't buy his rosy view of SF as humanist, or that "mainstream [literature] is mostly about things we share with other animals - love and hate, war and peace, dominance hierarchies, sex and violence". But I don't have to: he's just turning the contrast right up to clarify the picture.

Also makes me realise how twisted it is that my ideas of 'being human' are all in opposition to being cold-hearted, calculating, machine-like, etc. i.e. to me, 'being human' generally means 'being animal'.

--

I've never read Heinrich Böll, but this interview makes me want to for the first time.

I also guiltily enjoy the grumbling about mainstream American literature. It's an easy bogeyman, and hardly a new one: male, middle-class, academic, urban, dull. The most common hate figure is Jonathan Franzen, or at least his critical canonization. It's striking how many writers whose (online) work I enjoy come out with similar criticism. But I don't read enough novels to judge if it's accurate, and I don't have enough historical perspective to know if it is more than the perpetual siege of the centre by the periphery.

Much the same with indie music. Take Sasha Frere-Jones:

"I’ve spent too many evenings at indie concerts waiting in vain for vigor, for rhythm, for a musical effect that could justify all the preciousness....Where is the impulse to reach out to an audience—to entertain? I can't imagine [James Brown or the Meters] retreating inward and settling for the lassitude and monotony that so many indie acts seem to confuse with authenticity and significance.

That isn't the most interesting version of this critique, just the one I have to hand. IMO the race angle is more a symptom than a cause -- the fundamental problem involves social and economic power, geographical centralization of the chattering classes, critics facing practical incentives to discuss the cultures they know and understand. In short, it's The System. Or it's The Kyriarchy, to use this decade's terminology -- the idea is the same.

ETA: less convinced by both these arguments the more I think about them.
danohu: (Default)
Gah! I'm frustrated trying to figure out how to back up all the data I have splurged across the web.

Is there a service that will do it for me? That is, a backup system set up to work with the backup options of all the big sites I use (LJ, blogger, facebook, delicious, etc). Let me just click an 'export LJ' button, have them slurp out the data using whatever half-baked interface is available, and either let me download the data or store it online for me.

I'd pay a fair amount for such a service, and I'm sure many others would too. It's an obvious idea. So where is it?

by the way, the Facebook 'export my data' option is excellent, once you find it. Gives you all, for instance, all your wall posts since you joined the site -- so you can search through and find what it was you said to somebody a year ago, should you need to.
danohu: (Default)
Charles Stross on the utopia shortage:


we badly need more utopian speculation. The consensus future we read about in the media and that we're driving towards is a roiling, turbulent fogbank beset by half-glimpsed demons: climate change, resource depletion, peak oil, mass extinction, collapse of the oceanic food chain, overpopulation, terrorism, foreigners who want to come here and steal our women jobs. It's not a nice place to be; if the past is another country, the consensus view of the future currently looks like a favela with raw sewage running in the streets. Conservativism — standing on the brake pedal — is a natural reaction to this vision; but it's a maladaptive one, because it makes it harder to respond effectively to new and unprecedented problems.


Or in the words of Zizek (who is a reliable source of one-liners, if nothing else): "it is much easier for us to imagine the end of the world than a small change in the political system".

Not that utopias need to be anticapitalist, mind. My own daydreams mostly involve capitalism withering slightly, as some areas currently market-driven are replaced by more satisfying forms of interaction. Same with the other utopia I find most appealing: the amorphous vision implicit in pirate/transparency/open-data circles, slowly coming into focus as those groups become aware of themselves. You can construct non-market versions of those ideals, but they pretty much degrade into communism, anarchism or (rarely, but IMO very plausibly) slavery. Otherwise, you're left with the market/state/kindness for physical goods, sharing for intellectual goods, and probably some kind of permanent fudge in the middle.

Anyway, utopias: let's have more of them, regardless of plausibility. What's yours?

ETA: Although maybe there are a lot of utopian ideas floating around -- just not ones I find remotely appealing. Religious fundamentalism is going strong. Pure no-holds-barred capitalism is a utopian ideal for some, and still a long way from being put into practice.
danohu: (Default)
Stock trading and the like have always been at the forefront of data-mining -- though not often sharing their techniques, for obvious reasons.

The current trendy data-mining topic* is sentiment analysis based on social media -- guessing what the world thinks about a topic by searching for positive or negative opinions about it on twitter &c. Roughly, searching for "I love X" versus "I hate X", and interpreting that as a sign of general opinion.

There are surely traders basing decisions on sentiment analysis. It's anybody's guess how many, or how seriously, but it's going to grow over time.

So when is the spam coming?

Go short on company X. Spam twitter with 'X sucks' messages. Wait for other traders to use sentiment analysis, see X is unpopular, and dump their shares. Buy cheap. Profit.

You maybe couldn't affect a major company like this -- the market isn't *that* stupid. But suppose you know another trader is using sentiment analysis, and have a hunch that you can make her buy or sell by dumping enough positive or negative opinions online? Isn't that a strong incentive to spam?

[this inspired by a post suggesting that you predict layoffs by seeing whose employees are updating their CVs on linkedin -- an idea so sensible that it's probably already being used by a dozen companies]

* or rather, trendy among in the world of starry-eyed startups -- there's somewhat less academic interest. Probably because it produces results which are (a) easy to interpret, and (b) utterly unreliable.
danohu: (Default)
Among their other achievements, the Prussian military apparently invented wargames. That's wargames in the tabletop sense: turns, figurines, battles decided by dice, landscapes marked in squares, pen and paper and immensely convoluted rules. Warhammer without the orcs, basically. All this in 1812.



The "Tactical War-game" (Taktisches Kriegsspiel) was the work of a Prussian military advisor by the name of George Leopold von Reiswitz. He constructed the rules, and presented the king with an elaborate cabinet containing the (many) pieces needed to play. It went down well:


the King would usually command one side and Prince von Mecklenburg would command the other...In later life the King claimed that the games played at Potsdam often gave him ideas for the army manoeuvres which took place there.

The King’s interest in the game became well known, and it was as a direct result that the Grand Duke Nicholas of Russia made visits in 1816 and 1817 and became a devotee himself. This lead to a visit to Moscow by Wilhelm in October 1817 during which time they improvised a game on a large scale by chalking out terrain on a number of green topped card tables which were put together.


After a few years the army got really serious about it, issuing a game set to each regiment. Makes sense, given that the alternative to gaming was to march real soldiers around in the mud by their thousands. It was replicated in a few places, and inspired H.G. Wells in the wargame he created a century later. But mostly it fell out of fashion, and seems to have been repeatedly reinvented (rather than copied) over the following 200 years.

More:

Kettling

Nov. 21st, 2010 03:44 pm
danohu: (Default)
Does anybody know the origin of the term 'kettle' -- i.e. the police tactic?

I ask because there's an equivalent German word, which seems to be much older. So, is kettling in the UK a result of German police sharing their crowd-control expertise in one of the european/international police cooperation forums? Or is it just coincidence?

Links

Nov. 19th, 2010 07:55 pm
danohu: (Default)
Liz Phair writes an impressive review of Keith Richards' autobiography.

A rant from Rhian:

I was born in the 1980s. I grew up to get away from them. The only good thing about getting older was, I fondly deluded myself, that at least it wouldn’t be the fucking, fucking 1980s anymore.

And now what have we got? A Tory Prime Minister, unemployment through the roof, pointless wars abroad, strikes, bankers still raking it in and now a fucking, fucking, fucking Royal Wedding that we’re all expected to take a blind bit of notice of because it’ll take our minds off how SHIT everything is. And we will, of course.


Sofie Buckland has apparently restarted blogging. Many years ago she wrote an excellent blog under the name of Volsunga -- then removed it, and I'm possibly the only person left fondly remembering it, and hoping for a comeback. Maybe this time?

Be alert!

Nov. 18th, 2010 11:57 pm
danohu: (Default)
The German interior minister has lately been warning of imminent terrorist attacks.

Berlin's senator for the interior has built on this with an impromptu guide on how 'we' can spot the terrorists in our midst:

"If you notice that 3 people have moved into the neighbourhood, looking a bit strange, keeping to themselves, only talking Arabic or another foreign language that you don't understand, then you might want to think about notifying the authorities"


Depressing, isn't it? This bigoted idiocy is from a minister in Germany's most liberal and broad-minded city. He's even from an ostensibly centre-left party (the SPD, which admittedly has lately produced an impressive stream of high-profile racists).

Worst is, he's just being unusually blunt in expressing the general logic of calls to public vigilence. Any non-specific call to report 'suspicious behaviour' will get people disproprtionately reporting people they already distrust. In the political climate of the past decade, that'll often mean arabs. But more generally: is there any liklihood of getting warnings of genuine terrorist plots, rather than just a mass of paranoid fantasy?

[Things I'd love to read on this topic: the police on how much useful information they get from these campaigns, compared to time-wasters. Statistics on what things/people get reported. Memoirs of a Home Secretary or similar, explaining what the hell they were thinking -- whether it was cynical political manipulation, or if they believed they were being useful]

ETA: not entirely convincing retraction here
danohu: (Default)
There's a commission in the US, investigating the BP oil spill. Last week, the chief counsel said:
To date, we have not found a single instance where human beings made a conscious decision to favor dollars over safety,


I find this utterly bizarre. However angelic BP might be (?), surely it's impossible to run an engineering project on this scale without trade-offs between cost and safety? Won't there always be another layer of expensive and marginally-useful checks that you could add?
danohu: (Default)
Actually, it looks like I've misunderstood the LJ/Kazakhstan timeline. It's more like this:

- Oct. 2008: Kazakhstan blocks livejournal
- 8. Nov 2010: Livejournal suspends the account of [livejournal.com profile] rakhataliev, a critic of the Kazakh president and ex-husband of his daughter
- 15. Nov 2010: Kazakhstan
unblocks Livejournal

Which puts things in a very different light. It's pretty hard to look at that timeline without suspecting some kind of tit-for-tat between LJ and the Kazakh authorities.
danohu: (Default)
I began a new Russian course a fortnight ago, which gives me a good excuse to spend more time reading Russian-language Livejournals.

The importance of LJ in the Russian-speaking world probably isn't obvious from the English-speaking side. Pick any Russian journalist, writer or (non-corporate) public figure under 35, and there's a decent chance they'll have at least a nominal presence here*. LJ is home to independent journalism, to political discussion and organizing across the spectrum, to essays on art and culture, and generally to a large chunk of the Russian-speaking public sphere. That and the cat pictures, of course.

So it's nice to read that LJ has just been unblocked in Kazakhstan. The block was imposed in 2008, apparently because the president's estranged son-in-law [livejournal.com profile] rakhataliev, had been using it to criticize him. [LJ helpfully disabled the account in question, but apparently without any effect]

Now it's been unblocked, apparently as a result of lobbying by the glitterati. Or so says [livejournal.com profile] e_grishkovets, Russian writer/actor/director Yevgeni Grishkovetz. He put on a play in the Kazakh capital last month. The president saw it, so the following day the political elite duly turned up en masse, all wanting to talk to him. Grishkovets knew what to do:

"I said that...I regret that many of my acquaintances, as well as Kazakh citizens I don't know, are unable to take part in the life of LJ; that it is nonetheless a significant resource, whose users include not just me, but many other important and famous people, communication with whom is important for many people in Kazakhstan"

A month later, the Kazakh government has unblocked Livejournal. Quite possibly coincidence, of course, but in any case a Good Thing.

* Other Russian sites are comparable in volume of users, but IMO less politically important. Or maybe that's just my pro-LJ bias speaking.

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